Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.002508 0.002660 0.002823 0.003012 0.003226 0.003463 0.003749
2025-05-04 0.002339 0.002556 0.002802 0.003106 0.003480 0.003935 0.004545
2025-05-11 0.002177 0.002427 0.002723 0.003109 0.003613 0.004274 0.005258
2025-05-18 0.002097 0.002381 0.002730 0.003206 0.003867 0.004809 0.006390
2025-05-25 0.001987 0.002284 0.002657 0.003184 0.003950 0.005114 0.007282
2025-06-01 0.001881 0.002180 0.002565 0.003120 0.003958 0.005300 0.008039
2025-06-08 0.001839 0.002155 0.002571 0.003192 0.004175 0.005874 0.009885
2025-06-15 0.001793 0.002121 0.002561 0.003237 0.004354 0.006428 0.012157
2025-06-22 0.001724 0.002051 0.002494 0.003188 0.004366 0.006662 0.013794
2025-06-29 0.001659 0.001981 0.002424 0.003126 0.004345 0.006822 0.015411
2025-07-06 0.001604 0.001925 0.002369 0.003082 0.004350 0.007040 0.017643
2025-07-13 0.001520 0.001823 0.002242 0.002916 0.004112 0.006641 0.016518
2025-07-20 0.001484 0.001789 0.002217 0.002917 0.004196 0.007067 0.020740
2025-07-27 0.001470 0.001786 0.002237 0.002994 0.004442 0.008016 0.033729
2025-08-03 0.001437 0.001754 0.002211 0.002992 0.004529 0.008580 0.052236
2025-08-10 0.001427 0.001756 0.002236 0.003079 0.004823 0.009988 0.303077
2025-08-17 0.001394 0.001720 0.002202 0.003058 0.004872 0.010588 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001354 0.001675 0.002150 0.002999 0.004824 0.010788 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001344 0.001672 0.002165 0.003066 0.005090 0.012600 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001329 0.001661 0.002166 0.003107 0.005303 0.014505 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001298 0.001625 0.002125 0.003062 0.005279 0.015037 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001266 0.001587 0.002079 0.003004 0.005216 0.015276 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001239 0.001556 0.002042 0.002963 0.005193 0.015822 NaN